publishWhat predictions are, and what they are not
A prediction is one sentence about the future that will turn out true or false, with a date and how sure the writer is. It can be about anything: mark
Start here
A prediction is one sentence about the future that will turn out true or false, with a date and how sure the writer is. It can be about anything: markets, sport, politics, technology, the writer’s own business. It only has to be something anyone can check on the date. “AI will make work useless” cannot be checked; “Unemployment in the US will be above 6% in December 2027” can.
Check before you continue
No money is involved. Nobody bets and nobody pays to predict, so this is not a betting site or a prediction market such as Polymarket. A writer gains proof that they said it beforehand, which is a reason for readers to subscribe and to pay. Readers gain a way to tell which writers are worth listening to, and subscribers can say for free whether they agree.